Eli Lilly vuelve a sorprender al mercado
Las acciones de Eli Lilly suben más de un 8% hoy gracias a resultados impresionantes del segundo trimestre de 2024 y un aumento en las previsiones anuales. Los ingresos aumentaron un 36% a $11.300 millones, impulsados por Mounjaro y Zepbound. Las ganancias por acción subieron un 68% a $3.28 reportado y un 86% a $3.92 no GAAP. La guía de ingresos anuales se incrementó a $45.4-$46.6 mil millones.
Crecimiento de Eli Lilly: acciones suben un 41% en 2024 y más del 634% en cinco años
En lo que va del año, las acciones de Lilly han subido un 41%, y en los últimos cincoaños,han aumentado más del 634%. Con una capitalización de mercado de €691.5 mil millones, Lilly es ahora la décima empresa más valiosa del mundo, superando a Tesla y Novo Nordisk. Actualmente Eli Lilly cotiza a un PER de 52 y con una estimación para el próximo año de 43,5.
Métricas financieras clave:
- Ingresos: $11.300 millones (+36% interanual)
- Ingreso neto: $2.970 millones (+68% interanual)
- EPS reportado: $3.28 (+68% interanual)
- EPS no GAAP: $3.92 (+86% interanual)
- Guía de ingresos anuales: $45.4 – $46.6 mil millones
Desempeño excepcional de productos clave: Mounjaro y Zepbound impulsan las ventas
Zepbound está ahora en el 86% de las listas de seguros comerciales en EE.UU.
Facturación de EliLilly por producto:
- Mounjaro: $3.090 millones
- Verzenio: $1.330 millones (+44% interanual)
- Zepbound: $1.240 millones
- Jardiance: $769.6 millones (+15% interanual)
- Taltz: $824.7 millones (+17% interanual)
- Humalog: $631.6 millones (+43% interanual)
A medida que Lilly ha aumentado el suministro de Mounjaro y Zepbound, ha podido reabastecer pedidos y aumentar existencias en mayoristas. Las ventas de Mounjaro, destinado a la diabetes en EE.UU. y a la pérdida de peso en otros lugares, y Zepbound han superado las previsiones de los analistas en más de $750 millones, con ingresos combinados esperados de $15 mil millones este año. Para el 1 de julio, Zepbound ha estado disponible en el 86% de las listas de seguros comerciales en EE.UU. Lilly ha lanzado viales de dosis única de 2.5 mg y 5 mg de Zepbound en las próximas semanas, aumentando la capacidad de fabricación.
A pesar de la alta demanda y las estrategias para aumentar la producción, tanto Wegovy de NovoNordisk como Zepbound producido por Eli Lilly han experimentado escasez este año. Sin embargo, se espera que Lilly y Novo Nordisk compartan el mercado estadounidense en proporciones casi iguales para fines de 2024.
El mercado de medicamentos contra la obesidad en Estados Unidos es enorme y está en crecimiento. En 2023, el mercado de América del Norte estaba valorado en aproximadamente 3.01 mil millones de dólares. Se proyecta que este mercado crezca a una tasa compuesta anual (CAGR) del 25.5% entre 2024 y 2032, lo que llevaría su valor a aproximadamente 21.9 mil millones de dólares para el año 2032
Eli Lilly mejora previsiones: ganancias ajustadas y proyecciones de ingresos para 2024
Lilly espera ahora un beneficio ajustado de $16.10 a $16.60 por acción, frente a su pronóstico anterior de $13.50 a $14. Se proyecta que los ingresos totales estén entre $45.4 y $46.6 mil millones, reflejando un optimismo renovado en sus perspectivas financieras.
Análisis de mercado: Eli Lilly precio objetivo promedio de $927.74 según consensus
23 analistas de Zacks.com establecieron un precio objetivo promedio de $927.74 para Eli Lilly. Esto representa un aumento del 11,50% desde el último precio de $832, mostrando la confianza del mercado en el crecimiento continuo de la compañía.
Para más detalles, visita los resultados financieros del Q2 2024 de Eli Lilly.
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