- Iberdrola está comprometida con el suministro de energía 100% renovable en proyectos como la sociedad CPD4Green, garantizando un futuro energético más sostenible.
- Con la creación de nuevas iniciativas, como los centros de datos y la expansión de redes, Iberdrola fomenta la inversión en infraestructuras críticas.
- Con su ambiciosa inversión de 36.000 millones de euros hasta 2026, Iberdrola asegura que la infraestructura energética se prepare para satisfacer la creciente demanda futura, que podría duplicarse para 2050.
Iberdrola continúa su ascenso imparable en el mercado de valores, sumando un 1,4% en la última sesión y alcanzando máximos históricos. El impulso proviene de la mejora de su precio objetivo por parte de varias firmas de análisis como Morgan Stanley, Berstein y Berenberg. La acción ha alcanzado los 13,80 euros, cerrando finalmente en 13,72 euros por título.
El análisis de Berstein ha elevado su precio objetivo para Iberdrola a 14 euros por acción, desde los 12,7 euros anteriores. Sin embargo, Morgan Stanley ha sido aún más optimista, subiendo su estimación desde los 14,5 euros hasta los 15,5 euros, lo que indica un fuerte respaldo a su potencial alcista. Aunque Morgan Stanley no ha actualizado su recomendación recientemente, desde marzo ha elevado su precio objetivo desde los 12 euros, lo que refleja un cambio significativo en las perspectivas de crecimiento.
Este impulso también se debe a la adquisición de la distribuidora británica Electricity North West Limited ENW en agosto y la compra del 18% restante de Avangrid. Según Morgan Stanley, el negocio de redes de Iberdrola podría convertirse en el principal motor de crecimiento de la compañía en los próximos años.
Mejora en las previsiones de beneficios
El equipo de análisis de Berstein ha elevado sus estimaciones del beneficio por acción de Iberdrola en un 2,2% para 2025 y en un 3,9% para 2026. Los analistas esperan que el negocio de redes y energías renovables impulse este crecimiento. Se proyecta que la demanda energética en España aumentará significativamente, duplicándose para 2050. Mientras tanto, la compañía prevé invertir 36.000 millones de euros hasta 2026, con un aumento del dividendo de hasta un 27%.
No obstante, Iberdrola también enfrentará desafíos, como la ralentización de la demanda y el retraso en la operatividad de sus proyectos marinos, que no estarán listos hasta 2030.
Perspectivas conservadoras de otros analistas
Por su parte, Berenberg ha ajustado su precio objetivo a 12,3 euros, por debajo del nivel actual de cotización. Esta estimación es más conservadora en comparación con otras, aunque sigue mostrando confianza en la estabilidad de la acción. En general, el consenso de los analistas recopilado por Bloomberg sitúa el precio objetivo de Iberdrola a 12 meses en 13,24 euros por acción.
Comparativa con Inditex y la nueva incursión en centros de datos
Los recientes máximos de Iberdrola coinciden con los buenos resultados de Inditex, que tras publicar sus cuentas semestrales vio una subida significativa de su valor bursátil. Mientras Inditex ya roza los 159.000 millones de euros de capitalización, Iberdrola alcanza los 87.000 millones, con un crecimiento del 15,4% en lo que va de año.
Iberdrola avanza en su diversificación con su entrada en el negocio de centros de datos a través de la creación de la sociedad CPD4Green. Esta joint venture contará con la participación de un socio financiero que aportará los 2.000 millones de euros necesarios para poner en marcha los activos. Se espera que este nuevo proyecto genere entre 150 y 250 millones de euros de EBITDA anual.
Alta rentabilidad esperada
UBS destaca que la rentabilidad interna de los proyectos de centros de datos superará los dos dígitos, situándose por encima de los activos renovables convencionales. Uno de los proyectos clave es Madrid Sur, con una conexión eléctrica de 200 MW y una operación comercial prevista para 2028.
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